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       ATSWINS.AI DAILY BETTING VALUE REPORT
         February 15, 2026 - College Basketball
                  (CORRECTED ODDS)
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📅 SEASONALITY CHECK
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✓ CBB Season: IN PROGRESS (Feb 15, 2026)
✓ NBA All-Star: COMPLETE (Feb 14, 2026)
✓ CBB is prime betting season

📊 PYTHAGOREAN RATINGS (Exponent: 11.5)
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Team            Rec    Season   L10      Blended 
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Illinois        20-6   0.821    0.757    0.795
Indiana         17-8   0.821    0.616    0.739
Maryland        10-14  0.267    0.115    0.206
Rutgers         7-18   0.109    0.087    0.101
Cincinnati      12-13  0.481    0.527    0.499
Utah            10-14  0.324    0.140    0.250

🎯 TODAY'S GAME ANALYSIS
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Matchup                        Proj       Vegas      Edge    
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Indiana @ Illinois           +3.1        -10.5        +13.6    ★★★
Maryland @ Rutgers            +2.8        -3.5        +6.3    ★★
Utah @ Cincinnati         +3.3        -11.5        +14.8    ★★★

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📝 MARKET NOTES
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• Lines corrected per user verification
• Illinois heavily favored (-10.5) vs Indiana
• Cincinnati similarly heavy (-11.5) vs Utah
• Rutgers small favorite (-3.5) vs Maryland
• -140 rule applied: Only Rutgers passes price threshold

📐 METHODOLOGY:
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• Pythagorean exponent: 11.5 (standard for CBB)
• Blend: 60% Season Stats + 40% Last 10 Games
• Home court advantage: 3.0 points
• Vegas lines: CORRECTED (user-verified)
• -140 rule: Top Pick cannot be favorite worse than -140
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🏆 TOP 3 VALUE PICKS
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#1. Utah @ Cincinnati (12:00 PM)
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    Projected Spread: Cincinnati +3.3
    Vegas Line:       Cincinnati -11.5
    EDGE:             +14.8 points
    ML Edge:          ~+211.6%
    ✓ PICK: Cincinnati -11.5

#2. Indiana @ Illinois (1:00 PM)
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    Projected Spread: Illinois +3.1
    Vegas Line:       Illinois -10.5
    EDGE:             +13.6 points
    ML Edge:          ~+194.2%
    ✓ PICK: Illinois -10.5

#3. Maryland @ Rutgers (12:00 PM)
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    Projected Spread: Rutgers +2.8
    Vegas Line:       Rutgers -3.5
    EDGE:             +6.3 points
    ML Edge:          ~+89.4%
    ✓ PICK: Rutgers -3.5

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⭐ BEST BET OF THE DAY
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Maryland @ Rutgers (12:00 PM)
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    PROJECTION: Rutgers +2.8
    VEGAS:      Rutgers -3.5
    EDGE:       +6.3 points
    ✓ BEST BET: Rutgers -3.5

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⚠️  DISCLAIMER: For entertainment purposes only. Bet responsibly.
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📊 PYTHAGOREAN CALCULATION EXAMPLE (Illinois):
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Season PF: 2038, PA: 1785
Season Pythag: 0.8212
Last 10 PF: 798, PA: 723
Last 10 Pythag: 0.7568
Blended (60% S + 40% L10): 0.7954
Expected Win%: 79.5%